Preamble to the Abraham Accord

The Abraham Accord aims to create a strategic axis of allies around Israel, effectively encircling the Iranian regime from the west, north, and east. Recently, it was announced that Kazakhstan, a key country in Central Asia, will join this important regional agreement. Israel is also actively working to include Indonesia and Azerbaijan.

Kazakhstan’s Inclusion
American officials anticipate that the President of Kazakhstan will announce the country’s joining of the Abraham Accord during a meeting with the U.S. President. Axios reports that this announcement aims to restore Israel's international standing following the Gaza conflict while aligning with Trump’s priority to regain global support for Tel Aviv.

Goals of Israel and the U.S. in Expanding the Accord
Israel intends to enhance its geopolitical influence and counter Iran by attracting countries like Indonesia and Azerbaijan. This initiative is part of a broader strategy to establish a network of alliances stretching from the Mediterranean to Central Asia, bolstering Israel’s regional position while isolating Iran.

The normalization policy has progressed through three key phases, now entering a stage of regional containment and strategic connectivity. This strategy leverages the Abraham Accord to establish geopolitical hubs against Iran, combining diplomacy with technology and energy, while aligning with U.S. military structures in the region.

Indonesia: A Hidden Gem in the Muslim World
As the most populous Muslim country, Indonesia's accession to the Abraham Accord would grant significant symbolic and political legitimacy to Israel. Negotiations are underway between Tel Aviv and Washington to open diplomatic channels with Jakarta.

Azerbaijan: A Strategic Partner in the Caucasus
In contrast to Indonesia, Israel’s relationship with Azerbaijan is well-established based on mutual strategic cooperation. This partnership, formed since the 1990s, is built around energy and defense; Azerbaijan supplies over 60% of Israel's oil while benefiting from advanced military technology. Israel is negotiating with the U.S. to establish a trilateral coalition with Azerbaijan, with special envoy visits anticipated to expedite this process. Official accession of Baku to the Abraham Accord would solidify Israel’s geopolitical role in the South Caucasus and complete the pressure ring on Iran.

Conclusion
The expansion of the Abraham Accord to these countries redefines the geopolitical map of the region. It creates a strategic axis of allies encircling the Iranian regime from the west (Gulf Arab states), north (Azerbaijan), and east (Central Asia). This move also challenges the influence of rival powers such as Russia and China in their traditional spheres of influence.