The Reuters news agency reported that while there are signs of reduced social strictness in various cities across Iran, the government has simultaneously intensified its political repression. This dual approach aims to "create fear and prevent new protests," as noted by activists and former officials.

Four activists stated that this calculated strategy involves easing social pressures to calm public sentiment during an economic crisis while ramping up political pressure to deter street unrest. A former reformist official described this as a "calculated" pattern.

A civil activist detained during the 2019 protests highlighted that "pressures have increased," with threats against families, summons of activists, and student arrests continuing. The government is striving to silence any dissent.

Amid stagnation in nuclear talks with the U.S. and renewed UN sanctions, officials fear that diplomatic failures could lead to renewed attacks from Israel.

Following a recent twelve-day conflict, Iran's judiciary initiated rapid trials for those accused of "collaborating with Israel." Over 21,000 people, including journalists, civil activists, and members of ethnic and religious minorities, have been detained during and after the conflict.

A former reformist, imprisoned for years on charges of "actions against national security," emphasized that "the government fears losing power and feels simultaneous internal and external pressure."